3 Scenarios for a Romney Victory

The most likely path for a Romney victory is to repeat the path George W. bush took on the way to victory. If Romney is able to win Virginia (13), Florida (29), and Ohio (18), Romney would sit at a solid 266 votes, and would need to just win one more state out of the remaining 8 swing states. Romney should have natural advantages in Florida and Virginia, where both states have Republican tilts (and in Florida's case, outright dominance) and both states went big Tea Party in 2009 and 2010. Ohio will be the tougher one to win, and both candidates know it. Both campaigns will likely spend more time here than anywhere else. If Romney wins all three, Obama would be forced to win New Hampshire, Iowa, Colorado, Wisconsin, Nevada, Pennsylvania, New Mexico, and Michigan.