There is a lot of interesting numbers out today for newly-assured Republican nominee Mitt Romney (Read Romney's 2012 Presidential Profile). Earlier today, fundraising totals were released that showed Romney and the RNC ($77 Million) out-raising Obama and the DNC ($60 Million) by $17 Million for the month of May. Earlier, team Obama had a goal of $1 Billion and overwhelming a supposedly-weak GOP opponent.
But, alas, Romney is no John McCain. Not in Fundraising. Not in attitude. Not in willingness to hit Obama. Not in polls. As a result, it looks like I will need to be expanding my Battleground 2012 list, as previous big Obama wins in 2012 are looking not so great for him, and the Electoral College is shaping up nicely for Romney.
Purple strategies has Romney up over Obama in Ohio (48-45%), Florida, (49-45%), and close in Colorado (46-48%) and in Virginia (46-49%). Rasmussen has it a tie in Colorado (45% apiece), while EPIC-MRA has Romney leading Obama in Michigan (46-45%). We Ask America has Obama's lead in Wisconsin (48-43%) within the margin of error.
The good news for Romney is he is competitive or leads in all of these swing states and has not even started campaigning yet. More worrisome for team Obama is that even when he leads he is below the 50% threshold in all of the states. That is usually viewed as bad news for the incumbent as undecideds typically break for the challenger. With Romney's ability to compete financially and a continued tea party surge, it's fairly evident that it is not 2008 any longer. The question is, is it still 2010? If Wisconsin is any indicator....